DIMACS Workshop on Markets as Predictive Devices (Information Markets)

February 2-4, 2005
DIMACS Center, CoRE Building, Rutgers University

Organizers:

Robin Hanson, George Mason University,

John Ledyard, California Institute of Technology,

David Pennock, Yahoo! Research Labs,

Microsoft Research: http://research.microsoft.com

Newsfutures: http://www.newsfutures.com Hosting PM2, the Prediction Market Market

Yahoo! Research Labs: http://research.yahoo.com

Slides:

• Robin Hanson, Economics, George Mason University
  John Ledyard, Humanities and Social Sciences, California Institute of Technology
  David Pennock, Yahoo! Research Labs
  DIMACS Workshop on Markets as Predictive Devices (Information Markets)

• Kay-yut Chen, Hewlett Packard Labs
  Information aggregation: Experiments and industrial applications

• Robin Hanson, Economics, George Mason University
  Information Markets II: Theory, Outputs, Inputs, Foul Play, Combinatorics, Applications

  Manipulators increase information market accuracy

• Chris Hibbert, CommerceNet
  Zocalo: Developing Open-Source Prediction Market Software

• Ken Kittlitz, The Foresight Exchange
  Challenges of Bringing Information Markets to the Organization

• Tony Kwasnica, Management Science, Pennsylvania State University
  Information Markets and Decision Makers

• John Ledyard, Humanities and Social Sciences, California Institute of Technology
  An Experimental Test of Information and Decision Markets

• Steven Ostrover, EconOne
  Information markets as a Platform for Improved Corporate Communications

• David Pennock, Yahoo! Research Labs
  A Dynamic Pari-Mutuel Market for Hedging, Wagering, and Information Aggregation

• Todd Proebsting, Microsoft Research
  Tee Time with Admiral Poindexter

• Carsten Schmidt, Business and Economics, Humboldt University Berlin
  Overconfidence and Prediction Bias in Political Stock Markets

• Emile-Servan Schrieber, Newsfutures
  Does Money Matter?

  Bullish!

• Martin Spann, Business and Economics, Frankfurt University
  Expert Identification via Virtual Stock Markets: Finding Lead Users in Consumer Product Markets

• Martin Strobel, Economics, Maastricht University
  Are prediction markets robust against manipulation? A lab experiment

• Koleman Strumpf and Paul Rhode, University of North Carolina
  Manipulation in Political Stock Markets

• Joshua Tucker and Adam Meirowitz, Princeton University
  The Politics of Information Markets, and Information Markets in Politics

• Murray Turoff, Information Systems, New Jersey Institute of Technology
  The Delphi method and Marketplaces

• Ehud Vaks, Interdisciplinary Center, Hertzeliya, Israel
  Prototype for an Information Market in Israeli

• Michael Wellman, University of Michigan
  Strategic Analysis for Prediction Markets

Index

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